Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Sacramento Republic. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Sacramento RepublicGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.077 | A: 0.018Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.81. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL Championship (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Sacramento Republic. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Sacramento Republic – Phoenix Rising FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | FK Prepere - Turnov | 1.91 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | West Adelaide (W) - Salisbury Inter (W) | 1.83 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | XV de Jau U20 - Porto Foot Ball U20 | 1.80 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | NuPS - LePa | 1.89 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Elfsborg (W) - KIF Orebro (W) | 1.76 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Podhale Nowy Targ - Resovia Rzeszow | 1.83 | 1.04% |
| WIN | FK Mornar Bar - Buducnost Podgorica | 2.03 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Kataller Toyama - FC Imabari | 1.99 | 1.31% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Alajuelense (W) - Saprissa (W) | 1 | 1.75 | 1.04% | 20 Aug 04:00 |
| Tondela - Academica | 1 | 1.90 | 1.04% | 21 Aug 21:15 |
| Boston Utd - Altrincham | 1 | 1.75 | 1.31% | 22 Aug 13:30 |
| Vanløse - Ringsted IF | 1 | 1.75 | 1.04% | 22 Aug 14:00 |
| QPR - Bolton | 1 | 1.95 | 1.31% | 22 Aug 16:00 |