Sampdoria – Sudtirol

Model: TIPPSH

Sampdoria – Sudtirol

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.43
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 01, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 25d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 25d 15h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Sampdoria Sudtirol
Last 5 form W-D-L-W-W L-L-L-D-D
Avg goals scored 0.80 0.60
Avg goals conceded 0.80 2.40
Home/Away form W-L-W (home) L-L-D (away)
Home/Away avg goals 0.67 scored / 1.00 conceded 0.67 scored / 2.67 conceded
Shots on target 4.40 for / 3.00 against 2.00 for / 5.80 against
Home/Away shots on target 4.33 for / 2.67 against (home) 1.67 for / 6.67 against (away)

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Sampdoria shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Sampdoria is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.10First seen
Current2.43Now
Max odds2.43Highest point
Min odds2.10Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Sampdoria – Sudtirol Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.43. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.90% and 6.90%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample16
Win Rate31.3%
Profit-3.93u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSKA Akureyri - Valur Reykjavik2.306.90%
LOSSFBK Karlstad - Umeå FC2.306.90%
LOSSFC Copenhagen - Midtjylland2.516.90%
LOSSAl-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al Jandal2.636.90%
LOSSFK Blansko - SK Unicov2.456.90%
LOSSOperario PR - Chapecoense2.346.90%
LOSSFalkirk - Hibernian2.316.90%
WINAl Hamriyah - Al Fujairah2.456.90%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
LKS Lodz II - OKS Swit Skolwin12.356.90%08 May 17:00
Pick
1 @ 2.43
Kickoff
Mag 01, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.90% • n=238
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.90% • n=238
Start
Started 25d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 25d 15h ago
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