Model: TIPPSH
Sampdoria – Sudtirol
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.12
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 01, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 44d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 18h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Sampdoria | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-L-W-W | L-L-L-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-W (home) | L-L-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.67 scored / 1.00 conceded | 0.67 scored / 2.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.40 for / 3.00 against | 2.00 for / 5.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.33 for / 2.67 against (home) | 1.67 for / 6.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Sampdoria's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 24.1%
7D: 11.6%
15D: 7.2%
30D: 15.9%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.20First seen
Current2.12Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds2.10Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Sampdoria – Sudtirol Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.12. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample258
Win Rate47.3%
Profit-10.66u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Salvo SC (W) - Minnesota Thunder (W) | 2.30 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Nomads United - Nelson Suburbs | 2.30 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Dnepr Mogilev - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 2.18 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Colorado Switchbacks FC - Sacramento Republic | 1.97 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Congo DR - Chile | 2.03 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Waterford FC - Sligo Rovers | 2.23 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Oman - Mozambique | 2.18 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Blacktown City U20 - Rockdale Ilinden FC U20 | 2.00 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| JK Nomme Kalju II - JK Nomme United II | 1 | 2.25 | 2.49% | 15 Jun 18:00 |
| Londrina - Avai | 1 | 2.33 | 3.15% | 16 Jun 02:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.12
Kickoff
Mag 01, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 44d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 18h ago