Model: TIPPSA
Santa Cruz FC – Ferroviaria SP
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.30
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 31, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 9d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.77% · n=237
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9d 15h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Santa Cruz FC | Ferroviaria SP |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-D-W-W-L | D-W-W-L-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-L-W (home) | D-W-D-D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 0.50 conceded | 0.80 scored / 0.40 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.40 for / 3.60 against | 4.20 for / 3.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.50 for / 2.00 against (home) | 3.60 for / 3.60 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Ferroviaria SP is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 4.3%
7D: 30.4%
15D: 25.9%
30D: 7.4%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.81First seen
Current3.60Now
Max odds4.01Highest point
Min odds3.60Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Santa Cruz FC – Ferroviaria SP Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.30. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.77% across 237 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample28
Win Rate39.3%
Profit+8.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Australia (W) - Mexico (W) | 3.44 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Egypt - Russia | 3.27 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Rapid Vienna - SV Ried | 3.29 | 4.77% |
| WIN | America MG - Vila Nova | 3.33 | 3.84% |
| LOSS | Slavia Prague - Viktoria Plzen | 3.49 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Widzew Lodz - Piast Gliwice | 3.28 | 4.77% |
| WIN | Sport Recife - CRB | 3.38 | 3.04% |
| LOSS | Iwaki FC - Matsumoto Y FC | 3.40 | 2.94% |
Pick
2 @ 3.30
Kickoff
Mag 31, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.77% • n=237
Start
Started 9d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 9d 15h ago