FK Qarabag – Dynamo Kiev

Model: TIPPSH

FK Qarabag vs Dynamo Kiev

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.93
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 13, 2026 8:00 PM
StartStarted 19h 46m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 23h 48m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Qarabag. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK QarabagGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.040 | A: -0.022

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

27/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.06First seen
Current1.93Now
Max odds2.06Highest point
Min odds1.81Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK QarabagHOME
VS
Dynamo KievAWAY
WLDDW
Recent form
LWWLL
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.20
1.60
Shots on target for
3.20
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
3.40
Home splitW-D-W-L-W2.00 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-D-W1.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.93. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Conference League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.93
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -7.6% 7D: 4.3% 15D: 11.9% 30D: 9.4%
Model insight

FK Qarabag – Dynamo Kiev Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.93. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample586
Win Rate50.9%
Profit-5.90u
Historical Similar Predictions
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LOSSCA Atlanta Reserves - CA San Miguel Reserves1.831.04%
WINDunajska Streda U19 - ZP Sport Podbrezova U192.081.04%
WINPortland Timbers - Tijuana1.931.04%
WINCD Luis Angel Firpo - Diriangen1.851.31%
LOSSClub America - Austin FC1.931.04%
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Pick
1 @ 1.93
Kickoff
Ago 13, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 19h 46m ago
Updated
Updated 23h 48m ago
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