Model: TipA1
SC Grobinas – Tukums 2000
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.45
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 15, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 3
StartStarted 11d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.39% · n=969
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12d 7h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | SC Grobinas | Tukums 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-D-L-D-D | D-D-W-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 3.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | D-D-D-L-L (home) | D-D-L-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded | 2.00 scored / 2.25 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.60 for / 4.00 against | 5.80 for / 3.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 1.20 for / 3.40 against (home) | 3.75 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Tukums 2000 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.89First seen
Current2.60Now
Max odds2.89Highest point
Min odds2.60Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
SC Grobinas – Tukums 2000 Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.45. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.39% across 969 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample144
Win Rate38.2%
Profit-10.28u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Sao Cristovao U20 - AA Carapebus U20 | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Almirante Brown Reserves - CA San Miguel Reserves | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | HK/Ymir Kopavogur U19 - Thor/THK/Volsungur U19 | 2.40 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | KS Sniadowo - Supraslanka Suprasl | 2.35 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Muang Loei United - Uttaradit FC | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| WIN | SV Estrella - SV River Plate | 2.70 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Independencia - Galvez AC | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Sportivo Luqueno - Olimpia Asuncion | 2.35 | 4.27% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mjällby AIF - Djurgarden | 2 | 2.70 | 4.27% | 31 May 16:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.45
Kickoff
Mag 15, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.39% • n=969
Start
Started 11d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 12d 7h ago