SER Caxias do Sul U20 vs EC Juventude U20
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is SER Caxias do Sul U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: SER Caxias do Sul U20Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.25. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.56% based on n=265 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Gaucho U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor SER Caxias do Sul U20. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
SER Caxias do Sul U20 – EC Juventude U20 Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Wisloka Debica - Widzew Lodz II | 3.30 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Moravia Morawica - Star Starachowice | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves - Sportivo Barracas Reserves | 3.40 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Merthyr Town - Yeovil | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| WIN | Clyde - Airdrieonians | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Wisla Krakow - Wrexham | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Defensores de Cambaceres - Sacachispas | 3.20 | 3.85% |
| WIN | Puiu - PPJ | 3.10 | 2.17% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulista FC - Primavera SP | 1 | 3.00 | 3.85% | 18 Jul 20:00 |
| Fluminense PI U20 - CA Piauiense U20 | 1 | 3.25 | 3.56% | 18 Jul 23:00 |
| Tadotsu FC - Lavenirosso NC | 1 | 3.40 | 3.56% | 19 Jul 07:00 |
| Ekhaya FC - Big Bullets | 1 | 3.25 | 4.14% | 19 Jul 14:30 |