Servette – St Etienne

Model: TIPPSH

Servette vs St Etienne

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.13
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 18, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 13h 6m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 16h 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Servette. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Servette

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.00First seen
Current2.13Now
Max odds2.13Highest point
Min odds2.00Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

ServetteHOME
VS
St EtienneAWAY
WLWWD
Recent form
LLDDW
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.00
Shots on target for
5.80
2.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.40
3.40
Home splitW-W-W-W2.75 scored / 0.75 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-D0.60 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.13. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.13
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Servette. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Servette is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 14.4% 7D: 5.3% 15D: 7.4% 30D: 16.8%
Model insight

Servette – St Etienne Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.13. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
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Pick
1 @ 2.13
Kickoff
Lug 18, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 13h 6m ago
Updated
Updated 16h 8m ago
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