South Melbourne U23 vs Preston Lions U23
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is South Melbourne U23. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: South Melbourne U23Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.06. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia NPL Victoria U23 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to South Melbourne U23's attacking profile.
South Melbourne U23 – Preston Lions U23 Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Ocean City Nor'easters - FC Motown STA | 2.24 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Itabirito U20 - Social FC MG U20 | 1.97 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Zrinjski Mostar - HSK Posusje | 1.97 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Springvale White Eagles - Nunawading | 2.04 | 1.31% |
| WIN | AZ Reserves - Ajax Reserves | 2.25 | 1.59% |
| WIN | FK Jablonec - FC Kharkiv | 2.26 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Botafogo - Santos | 2.05 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Caen - Paris 13 Atletico | 1.98 | 1.31% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Sao Bernardo SP - Avai | 1 | 1.96 | 1.31% | 18 Jul 00:00 |
| Club Atletico Temperley - Atletico Rafaela | 1 | 1.86 | 1.31% | 18 Jul 01:30 |
| Leon - Atlas | 1 | 2.06 | 1.04% | 18 Jul 03:00 |
| Inter Lions - Rydalmere Lions FC | 1 | 1.92 | 1.31% | 18 Jul 09:00 |
| Mount Gravatt Hawks - Logan Roos FC | 1 | 2.15 | 1.04% | 18 Jul 11:00 |
| Kormakur/Hvot - Dalvik/Reynir | 1 | 2.04 | 1.04% | 18 Jul 19:00 |