Shandong Taishan Reserves – Qingdao Red Lions

Model: TIPPSH

Shandong Taishan Reserves vs Qingdao Red Lions

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.05
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 24, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 78d 9h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 78d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Shandong Taishan Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Shandong Taishan Reserves

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

33/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.67First seen
Current2.05Now
Max odds2.05Highest point
Min odds1.67Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Shandong Taishan ReservesHOME
VS
Qingdao Red LionsAWAY
WWWW
Recent form
LWDDL
Avg goals scored
2.25
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.25
1.00
Shots on target for
4.25
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
1.00
4.40
Home splitW-W2.50 scored / 0.50 conceded
Away splitL-W-L0.33 scored / 0.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.05. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.30% based on n=590 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China Division 2 (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.05
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Shandong Taishan Reserves. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 4.7% 7D: 3.4% 15D: 19.1% 30D: 16.1%
Model insight

Shandong Taishan Reserves – Qingdao Red Lions Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.05. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample326
Win Rate47.9%
Profit-14.64u
Historical Similar Predictions
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WINHouston FC - Hill Country Lobos1.853.37%
WINBFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas2.253.15%
LOSSNautico - EC Juventude2.273.15%
WINFK Jelgava - SC Grobinas2.053.37%
WINCuiaba - America MG2.133.37%
LOSSJacuipense U20 - Fluminense De Feira U202.302.49%
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Pick
1 @ 2.05
Kickoff
Apr 24, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 78d 9h ago
Updated
Updated 78d 11h ago
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