Model: TIPPSH
Shandong Taishan Reserves – Qingdao Red Lions
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.95
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 24, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 32d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 33d 11h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Shandong Taishan Reserves | Qingdao Red Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-W-W | L-W-D-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 2.25 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.25 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-W (home) | L-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.50 scored / 0.50 conceded | 0.33 scored / 0.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.25 for / 1.00 against | 3.60 for / 4.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.50 for / 1.00 against (home) | 2.00 for / 3.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.67First seen
Current1.95Now
Max odds1.95Highest point
Min odds1.67Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Shandong Taishan Reserves – Qingdao Red Lions Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.95. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample304
Win Rate49.7%
Profit-11.61u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Central & Western - Hoi King | 2.20 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Auckland FC II | 1.84 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Jadran Dekani - NK Krka | 1.91 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | North Sunshine Eagles - Langwarrin | 1.75 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CFR Cluj - FC Arges Pitesti | 1.85 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Imisli - FK Karvan | 1.80 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.95
Kickoff
Apr 24, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 32d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 33d 11h ago