Columbus Crew II – Philadelphia Union II

Model: TIPPSH

Columbus Crew II vs Philadelphia Union II

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.91
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 19, 2026 2:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Columbus Crew II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Columbus Crew II

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.16First seen
Current2.15Now
Max odds2.17Highest point
Min odds2.15Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Columbus Crew IIHOME
VS
Philadelphia Union IIAWAY
DDWWW
Recent form
DWLWL
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.40
Shots on target for
5.20
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
6.40
Home splitW-W-D-W-W2.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-L-L1.40 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.91. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS Next Pro League (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.91
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Columbus Crew II is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -15.8% 7D: -9.9% 15D: -4.3% 30D: 15.2%
Model insight

Columbus Crew II – Philadelphia Union II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.91. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample312
Win Rate50.6%
Profit-6.73u
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WINAlamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W)1.903.37%
WINHouston FC - Hill Country Lobos1.853.37%
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WINFK Jelgava - SC Grobinas2.053.37%
WINCuiaba - America MG2.133.37%
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Pick
1 @ 1.91
Kickoff
Lug 19, 2026 2:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Starts in 1d
Updated
Updated 12m ago
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