Model: TIPPSH

SK Sturm Graz vs FK Austria Vienna

PREDICTION

@ 2.15

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffApr 26, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 80d 15h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 81d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SK Sturm Graz. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SK Sturm Graz

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

43/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.38First seen

Current2.25Now

Max odds2.38Highest point

Min odds2.21Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SK Sturm GrazHOME

FK Austria ViennaAWAY

DDDDW

Recent form

DLLDL

Avg goals scored

1.00

Defensive weakness

0.60

2.40

Shots on target for

3.60

2.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.80

5.20

Home splitD-D-D0.67 scored / 0.67 conceded

Away splitD-L-L1.00 scored / 2.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=299 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Austria Bundesliga (at). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.15

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives SK Sturm Graz a useful statistical edge. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. SK Sturm Graz has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 5.7% 7D: 2.2% 15D: 6.4% 30D: 15.7%

Model insight

SK Sturm Graz – FK Austria Vienna Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample266

Win Rate45.9%

Profit-14.05u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Spartans - Stirling	2.25	2.49%
LOSS	Wexford FC - Kerry FC	1.90	3.37%
WIN	Alamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W)	1.90	3.37%
WIN	BFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas	2.25	3.15%
LOSS	Nautico - EC Juventude	2.27	3.15%
WIN	FK Jelgava - SC Grobinas	2.05	3.37%
WIN	Cuiaba - America MG	2.13	3.37%
LOSS	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	2.38	3.15%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz	1	1.98	4.86%	09 May 13:00
FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina	1	1.93	2.30%	10 May 19:00

Pick

1 @ 2.15

Kickoff

Apr 26, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.86% • n=299

Start

Started 80d 15h ago

Updated

Updated 81d 15h ago