Model: TIPPSH
SK Sturm Graz (W) – FC Salzburg (W)
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.04
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 29, 2026 8:30 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 3d 23h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4d 1h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | SK Sturm Graz (W) | FC Salzburg (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-L-L-L | D-D-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | D-L-L (home) | D-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.67 scored / 2.33 conceded | 0.67 scored / 1.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.00 for / 5.00 against | 2.50 for / 4.50 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | N/A for / N/A against (home) | 1.00 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 29.3%
7D: 26.6%
15D: 24.1%
30D: 10.2%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.88First seen
Current2.04Now
Max odds2.04Highest point
Min odds1.88Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
SK Sturm Graz (W) – FC Salzburg (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.04. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample120
Win Rate47.5%
Profit-6.38u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Sport Huancayo II - Ayacucho FC | 2.01 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Vanraure Hachinohe - Fukushima Utd | 1.82 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | O'Higgins - Everton de Vina | 1.94 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Club Atlético El Linqueño - Defensores de Belgrano VR | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Sportivo Italiano - Argentino Merlo | 2.17 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Dreams - Nations FC | 1.80 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Palestino - Audax Italiano | 1.99 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Urena SC - Yaracuyanos | 2.12 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Penarol Reserves - Torque Reserves | 1 | 2.20 | 1.04% | 02 Jun 19:00 |
| Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves - Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Reserves | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 02 Jun 20:00 |
| Seongnam FC - Gimhae FC 2008 | 1 | 1.79 | 1.04% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Busan I Park - Chungnam Asan FC | 1 | 1.86 | 1.04% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| CD Castellon - Almeria | 1 | 1.80 | 1.04% | 06 Jun 21:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.04
Kickoff
Mag 29, 2026 8:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 3d 23h ago
Updated
Updated 4d 1h ago