SK Super Nova vs Tukums 2000
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Tukums 2000. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Tukums 2000Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.40. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.40% based on n=230 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Latvia Virsliga (lv). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Tukums 2000 shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Tukums 2000's attacking profile.
SK Super Nova – Tukums 2000 Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Craigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W) | 2.34 | 3.43% |
| WIN | Santamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre | 2.65 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Union La Calera - Universidad de Chile | 2.29 | 3.59% |
| WIN | Maldives - Afghanistan | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Chongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan | 2.52 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Deportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota | 2.56 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | IF Gnistan - SJK | 2.51 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Lech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 2.25 | 3.59% |