Model: TIPPSH

St Johnstone vs Kilmarnock

PREDICTION

@ 2.20

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 02, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 10h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is St Johnstone. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: St JohnstoneGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.007 | A: 0.069

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

39/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

St JohnstoneHOME

KilmarnockAWAY

DLWWW

Recent form

DWWDW

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.00

Defensive weakness

0.80

0.40

Shots on target for

7.60

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

4.40

Home splitD-W-W-W2.50 scored / 0.25 conceded

Away splitD-W-W-W-W2.40 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.20. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland Premiership (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.20

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. St Johnstone is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 4.7% 7D: -3.2% 15D: 12.1% 30D: 15.2%

Model insight

St Johnstone – Kilmarnock Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample243

Win Rate43.6%

Profit-18.89u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Necaxa U19 - Monterrey U19	2.38	2.49%
LOSS	Feyenoord - Rayo Vallecano	2.08	3.37%
WIN	Ajax - Burnley	2.04	3.37%
WIN	CD Universidad San Martin - Carlos Manucci	2.10	3.37%
LOSS	MMU - UITM Perlis	2.26	2.49%
LOSS	Girona - CD Alaves	2.45	2.49%
WIN	Green Gully U23 - Dandenong City U23	2.22	3.37%
WIN	Queen's Park - Queen of South	2.01	3.37%

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Pick

1 @ 2.20

Kickoff

Ago 02, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

3.37% • n=795

Start

Starts in 4d 10h

Updated

Updated 10m ago