Strasbourg – Toulouse

Model: TipTromba35H

Strasbourg – Toulouse

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.08
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 03, 2026 7:15 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 37d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.58% · n=665
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 37d 17h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Strasbourg Toulouse
Last 5 form L-L-W-L-L W-D-L-L-L
Avg goals scored 0.80 1.40
Avg goals conceded 2.00 2.80
Home/Away form L-L-L-W-W (home) W-L-L-L (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded 1.50 scored / 2.75 conceded
Shots on target 3.00 for / 6.40 against 3.20 for / 8.60 against
Home/Away shots on target 3.80 for / 4.20 against (home) 2.50 for / 8.25 against (away)

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -14.7% 7D: -16.0% 15D: -5.2% 30D: 11.0%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.48First seen
Current3.13Now
Max odds3.19Highest point
Min odds2.47Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Strasbourg – Toulouse Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.08. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.58% across 665 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample104
Win Rate27.9%
Profit-12.60u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSDangjin Citizen FC - Changwon City3.254.14%
WINGloria Popesti Leordeni - Unirea Alba Iulia3.002.17%
LOSSVilla Espanola - Sportivo Bella Italia3.103.85%
WINPortuguesa Santista U20 - Ponte Preta U203.103.85%
LOSSHaiti - Peru3.113.85%
WINNTNUI - Kvik Trondheim3.003.85%
WINNorth Pine - North Lakes United3.253.56%
LOSSMorocco - Norway3.203.85%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Caboolture FC - Rochedale Rovers13.253.56%13 Jun 10:15
Pick
1 @ 3.08
Kickoff
Mag 03, 2026 7:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.58% • n=665
Start
Started 37d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 37d 17h ago
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