Model: TIPPSH

Tenerife vs Leganes

PREDICTION

@ 2.36

StatusUpcoming

KickoffSet 13, 2026 11:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 16h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 14m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tenerife. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: TenerifeGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.049 | A: 0.086

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

38/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.36First seen

Current2.36Now

Max odds2.36Highest point

Min odds2.36Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

TenerifeHOME

LeganesAWAY

DLWWD

Recent form

DWWDD

Avg goals scored

1.00

0.60

Defensive weakness

0.60

0.20

Shots on target for

2.80

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.80

3.60

Home splitL-W-W-D-W1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-W-D-L-D0.40 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.36. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Segunda (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.36

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -15.0% 7D: 4.7% 15D: 3.4% 30D: 5.4%

Model insight

Tenerife – Leganes Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.36. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample275

Win Rate41.8%

Profit-6.44u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Hapoel Azor - Tzeirey Tira	2.41	2.49%
WIN	NK Brezice - ND Dravinja	2.27	3.15%
WIN	Estrela Amadora U23 - UD Leiria U23	2.51	3.15%
LOSS	Ispe FC - Mahar United	2.31	2.49%
LOSS	Getafe - Celta Vigo	2.49	2.49%
LOSS	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) - Veertien Mie (W)	2.30	2.49%
LOSS	Standard Liege II - RFC Meux	2.61	2.49%
LOSS	Mahasarakham SBT FC - Songkhla FC	2.25	3.15%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Maleyat Kafr El Zayat - La Viena FC	1	2.53	2.49%	11 Sep 15:30
Kamaz Nab Chelny - FK Chelyabinsk	1	2.26	3.15%	11 Sep 16:00
Atletico GO - Criciuma	1	2.30	3.15%	13 Sep 21:00
Torque - Liverpool Montevideo	1	2.37	2.49%	15 Sep 00:00

Pick

1 @ 2.36

Kickoff

Set 13, 2026 11:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

2.49% • n=1025

Start

Starts in 3d 16h

Updated

Updated 14m ago