Model: TIPPSH

Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol

PREDICTION

@ 3.40

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 03, 2026 9:00 AM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 70d 11h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.76% · n=13

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.76% · n=13

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 70d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tokyo Verdy. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Tokyo Verdy

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

62/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.34First seen

Current3.55Now

Max odds4.40Highest point

Min odds3.45Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Tokyo VerdyHOME

Kashiwa ReysolAWAY

WWWDL

Recent form

LLLLL

Avg goals scored

1.40

0.20

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.60

Shots on target for

4.40

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

4.80

Home splitW-W-W1.33 scored / 0.33 conceded

Away splitL-L-L0.00 scored / 1.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.40. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.76% based on n=13 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J-League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.40

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.76% · n=13

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.76% · n=13

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Tokyo Verdy shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Tokyo Verdy is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -5.7% 7D: 8.1% 15D: 1.8% 30D: 14.3%

Model insight

Tokyo Verdy – Kashiwa Reysol Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.40. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.76% and 6.76%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample4

Win Rate50.0%

Profit+2.54u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Shinnik Yaroslavl - PFC Sochi	3.38	7.69%
WIN	FK Minija - Panevezys	3.37	7.69%
WIN	Tecnico Universitario - Barcelona Guayaquil	3.17	7.96%
LOSS	Wil 1900 - FC Vaduz	3.60	6.76%

Pick

1 @ 3.40

Kickoff

Mag 03, 2026 9:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.76% • n=13

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.76% • n=13

Start

Started 70d 11h ago

Updated

Updated 70d 13h ago