Treaty United FC – Athlone Town

Model: TIPPSA

Treaty United FC vs Athlone Town

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.67
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 24, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 16h 42m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18h 51m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Athlone Town. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Athlone TownGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.037 | A: 0.087

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.43First seen
Current2.67Now
Max odds2.68Highest point
Min odds2.43Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Treaty United FCHOME
VS
Athlone TownAWAY
WLWWD
Recent form
LWWWL
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.60
Defensive weakness
0.80
0.60
Shots on target for
3.20
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
3.20
Home splitW-L-W-D-L1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-L0.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.67. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland First Division (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.67
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Athlone Town's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 14.8% 7D: 29.1% 15D: 19.3% 30D: 24.9%
Model insight

Treaty United FC – Athlone Town Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.67. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample34
Win Rate29.4%
Profit-8.05u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSJeonnam Dragons - Gyeongnam FC2.660.84%
LOSSThrottur Reykjavik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)2.680.84%
LOSSWaldhof Mannheim - FC Liefering2.510.84%
LOSSArgentino Merlo - Deportivo Armenio2.720.84%
LOSSHolstein Kiel - Al Ahli Jeddah2.420.84%
LOSSMontevideo Wanderers Reserves - Penarol Reserves2.590.84%
WINKhangarid Klub - Deren FC2.630.84%
WINTulsa - Colorado Switchbacks FC2.670.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.67
Kickoff
Lug 24, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Start
Started 16h 42m ago
Updated
Updated 18h 51m ago
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