Holstein Kiel – Al Ahli Jeddah

Model: TIPPSA

Holstein Kiel vs Al Ahli Jeddah

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.31
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 15, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS4 - 1
StartStarted 13h 1m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 16h 31m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Al Ahli Jeddah. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Al Ahli Jeddah

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.09First seen
Current2.41Now
Max odds2.53Highest point
Min odds1.57Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Holstein KielHOME
VS
Al Ahli JeddahAWAY
WLLLW
Recent form
LWWWW
Avg goals scored
1.80
3.60
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.20
Shots on target for
4.00
6.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
3.40
Home splitW-L-L-W-W2.20 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-W-L3.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.31. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to World Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.31
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Al Ahli Jeddah has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -25.7% 7D: -5.3% 15D: 10.5% 30D: 14.8%
Model insight

Holstein Kiel – Al Ahli Jeddah Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.31. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample83
Win Rate45.8%
Profit+2.46u
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LOSSGalway United - Derry City2.350.84%
WINLyn 1896 - Bryne2.530.84%
LOSSDerry City - Bohemians Dublin2.450.84%
LOSSNunawading - Keilor Park2.250.84%
WINZED FC - Wadi Degla2.540.84%
WINMyPa - PPJ2.061.76%
Pick
2 @ 2.31
Kickoff
Lug 15, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Start
Started 13h 1m ago
Updated
Updated 16h 31m ago
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