UD Leiria vs SC Farense
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is UD Leiria. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: UD LeiriaValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.06. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=299 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal Segunda Liga (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. UD Leiria has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
UD Leiria – SC Farense Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Wexford FC - Kerry FC | 1.90 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Alamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W) | 1.90 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Houston FC - Hill Country Lobos | 1.85 | 3.37% |
| WIN | BFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas | 2.25 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Nautico - EC Juventude | 2.27 | 3.15% |
| WIN | FK Jelgava - SC Grobinas | 2.05 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Cuiaba - America MG | 2.13 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Jacuipense U20 - Fluminense De Feira U20 | 2.30 | 2.49% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |