Model: TipTromba4H

UD Tamaraceite vs Sevilla Atletico

PREDICTION

@ 3.75

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffSet 06, 2026 3:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 1

StartStarted 1d 20h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.09% · n=255

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.09% · n=255

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is UD Tamaraceite. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: UD TamaraceiteGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.060 | A: -0.090

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

55/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.81First seen

Current4.06Now

Max odds4.06Highest point

Min odds3.81Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

UD TamaraceiteHOME

Sevilla AtleticoAWAY

LWLWL

Recent form

WDLLL

Avg goals scored

2.00

0.40

Defensive weakness

1.40

0.80

Shots on target for

6.00

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.40

3.20

Home splitL-W-W-W-W2.40 scored / 0.40 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-L-L0.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.75. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.09% based on n=255 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.75

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.09% · n=255

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.09% · n=255

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for UD Tamaraceite. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to UD Tamaraceite's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -5.5% 7D: 6.3% 15D: 9.8% 30D: 6.0%

Model insight

UD Tamaraceite – Sevilla Atletico Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.09% and 4.09%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample167

Win Rate31.7%

Profit+29.95u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Atletico River Plate Reserves - Nacional de Montevideo Reserves	3.75	4.09%
LOSS	7 de Abril - Serra Macaense	3.50	3.99%
WIN	Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3.90	4.09%
LOSS	Calasancio - Alfaro	3.80	4.09%
LOSS	Sun Hei - Sui Tung	3.60	4.85%
LOSS	Jorge Gibson Brown - La Cantera FC	3.80	4.09%
LOSS	Real Murcia B - Orihuela	3.75	4.09%
WIN	RC Hades - Antwerp II	3.70	3.99%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
JK Trans Narva - FC Flora Tallinn	1	3.80	4.84%	08 Sep 16:30

Pick

1 @ 3.75

Kickoff

Set 06, 2026 3:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.09% • n=255

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.09% • n=255

Start

Started 1d 20h ago

Updated

Updated 2d 5h ago