Uniao Sao Joao – XV Piracicaba

Model: TipA1

Uniao Sao Joao vs XV Piracicaba

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.15
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 23, 2026 2:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2h 1m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.75% · n=380
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is XV Piracicaba. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: XV PiracicabaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.050 | A: -0.095

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

40/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.19First seen
Current2.08Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds2.08Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Uniao Sao JoaoHOME
VS
XV PiracicabaAWAY
L
Recent form
DLWDL
Avg goals scored
0.00
0.60
Defensive weakness
3.00
1.20
Shots on target for
8.00
2.60
SoT conceded pressure
13.00
2.40
Home splitN/AN/A scored / N/A conceded
Away splitL-D-L-D-W0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.15. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.75% based on n=380 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Paulista Cup (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.15
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.75% · n=380
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives XV Piracicaba a useful statistical edge. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 46.8% 7D: 31.0% 15D: 23.3% 30D: 23.7%
Model insight

Uniao Sao Joao – XV Piracicaba Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.75% across 380 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
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Pick
2 @ 2.15
Kickoff
Lug 23, 2026 2:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.75% • n=380
Start
Starts in 2h 1m
Updated
Updated 8m ago
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