Model: TipTromba4H

Union Plaani vs Reipas

PREDICTION

@ 3.90

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 4:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 5h 49m ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.09% · n=255

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.09% · n=255

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 23h 29m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Union Plaani. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Union PlaaniGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.019 | A: 0.026

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

56/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Union PlaaniHOME

ReipasAWAY

WWLLW

Recent form

LLLWW

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.80

Defensive weakness

0.60

2.00

Shots on target for

5.20

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

3.80

Home splitW-L-L-W-L1.20 scored / 2.40 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L-L1.40 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.90. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.09% based on n=255 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kakkonen Group A (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.90

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.09% · n=255

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.09% · n=255

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Union Plaani has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Union Plaani's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 20.2% 7D: 16.0% 15D: 1.7% 30D: 3.5%

Model insight

Union Plaani – Reipas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.90. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.09% and 4.09%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample87

Win Rate31.0%

Profit+15.40u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	FC Milsami - CS Petrocub	3.80	4.84%
LOSS	Al Faisaly Harmah - Neom SC	3.80	4.84%
LOSS	TJ Partizan Osrblie - TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele	3.75	4.09%
LOSS	CE L'Hospitalet - Barcelona B	3.90	4.09%
WIN	Mainz - Bournemouth	3.80	4.09%
WIN	Borussia M'gladbach - Aston Villa	3.75	4.84%
LOSS	KF Vushtrria - Malisheva	3.80	4.09%
LOSS	Laholms FK - Jonkopings Sodra	3.90	4.84%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
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Pick

1 @ 3.90

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 4:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.09% • n=255

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.09% • n=255

Start

Started 5h 49m ago

Updated

Updated 23h 29m ago