Tochigi SC – Giravanz Kitakyushu

Model: TIPPSH

Tochigi SC vs Giravanz Kitakyushu

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.98
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 22, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 13h 37m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 15h 43m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tochigi SC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Tochigi SCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.052 | A: 0.032

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.93First seen
Current1.98Now
Max odds1.98Highest point
Min odds1.93Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Tochigi SCHOME
VS
Giravanz KitakyushuAWAY
DWDWW
Recent form
DLDWL
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.40
Shots on target for
5.00
2.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.00
4.80
Home splitD-W-W-W-D1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-W-L-L-L1.20 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.98. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J3-League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.98
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Tochigi SC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 15.4% 7D: 14.0% 15D: 0.9% 30D: 3.1%
Model insight

Tochigi SC – Giravanz Kitakyushu Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.98. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample391
Win Rate50.4%
Profit-5.54u
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WINStockton Town - Alfreton Town2.203.37%
WINBury Town - Leamington2.153.37%
LOSSASD Seravezza Calcio - Scandicci2.003.37%
LOSSDangjin Citizen FC - Yeoju2.023.37%
WINHarborough Town - Darlington 18831.933.37%
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Pick
1 @ 1.98
Kickoff
Ago 22, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Started 13h 37m ago
Updated
Updated 15h 43m ago
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