Model: TipTromba2H

University Azzurri FC vs Port Darwin FC

PREDICTION

@ 1.53

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 19, 2026 2:30 PM

ResultWIN7 - 1

StartStarted 1d 11h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.49% · n=235

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.49% · n=235

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 19h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is University Azzurri FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: University Azzurri FCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.062 | A: 0.046

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

41/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.53First seen

Current1.53Now

Max odds1.57Highest point

Min odds1.53Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

University Azzurri FCHOME

Port Darwin FCAWAY

WWWWW

Recent form

LWDLW

Avg goals scored

5.80

2.60

Defensive weakness

1.20

3.20

Shots on target for

11.60

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

6.20

Home splitW-W-W-W-L3.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-W-L2.00 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.53. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.49% based on n=235 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Darwin Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.53

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.49% · n=235

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.49% · n=235

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. The model places this selection in a historically favorable confidence range. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to University Azzurri FC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 39.0% 7D: -4.5% 15D: -0.7% 30D: 2.8%

Model insight

University Azzurri FC – Port Darwin FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.53. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.49% and 6.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample86

Win Rate67.4%

Profit+8.92u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Ullern U19 - Ullensaker/Kisa U19	1.50	6.49%
WIN	Genesis de Comayagua Reserves - CD Choloma Reserves	1.75	6.17%
WIN	SMIT SC - Umphrup FC	1.75	6.89%
WIN	Swit Szczecin II - Ina Insko	1.55	6.49%
WIN	Fjolnir (W) - Einherji Women	1.67	6.49%
WIN	Sacachispas U20 - Centro Espanol U20	1.55	6.49%
LOSS	Troyes - Panetolikos	1.75	7.35%
LOSS	SC Villa - NEC FC Bugolobi	1.75	6.89%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Sölvesborgs GoIF - IFK Karlshamn	1	1.53	7.81%	21 Aug 18:00
Guilsfield - Ruthin Town FC	1	1.70	6.49%	22 Aug 15:30

Pick

1 @ 1.53

Kickoff

Ago 19, 2026 2:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.49% • n=235

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.49% • n=235

Start

Started 1d 11h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 19h ago