Troyes vs Panetolikos
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Troyes. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: TroyesGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.091 | A: -0.030Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.93. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Troyes a useful statistical edge. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Troyes is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Troyes – Panetolikos Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Dinamo Samarqand - Xorazm Urganch | 1.76 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CD Antofagasta - Santiago Wanderers | 1.88 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kairat Almaty (W) - Kaisar Kyzylorda (W) | 1.96 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Cruzeiro - Mirassol | 1.76 | 3.37% |
| WIN | BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000 | 1.75 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Rennes - Brentford | 2.06 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Porthmadog - Rhyl | 2.10 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Bayern Munich - Aston Villa | 1.92 | 3.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| Man Utd - AC Milan | 1 | 1.91 | 3.37% | 15 Aug 16:45 |
| Al Taawon Buraidah - Al Khaleej Saihat | 1 | 1.80 | 3.37% | 15 Aug 18:15 |
| Everton de Vina - Audax Italiano | 1 | 1.96 | 3.37% | 16 Aug 02:00 |
| Orense - Deportivo Cuenca | 1 | 2.00 | 3.37% | 16 Aug 21:00 |
| Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 1 | 1.83 | 3.37% | 17 Aug 20:15 |