Troyes – Panetolikos

Model: TIPPSH

Troyes vs Panetolikos

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.93
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 14, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 20h 9m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 22h 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Troyes. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: TroyesGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.091 | A: -0.030

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.41First seen
Current2.28Now
Max odds2.42Highest point
Min odds1.41Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

TroyesHOME
VS
PanetolikosAWAY
DDWWW
Recent form
DLLLD
Avg goals scored
1.80
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.40
Shots on target for
5.20
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
5.60
Home splitD-W-W-W-W2.00 scored / 0.20 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-D-W1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.93. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.93
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Troyes a useful statistical edge. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Troyes is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -25.0% 7D: -3.8% 15D: 13.3% 30D: 9.2%
Model insight

Troyes – Panetolikos Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.93. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample342
Win Rate50.6%
Profit-7.29u
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WINCruzeiro - Mirassol1.763.37%
WINBFC Daugavpils - Tukums 20001.753.37%
LOSSRennes - Brentford2.063.37%
WINPorthmadog - Rhyl2.103.37%
WINBayern Munich - Aston Villa1.923.37%
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Pick
1 @ 1.93
Kickoff
Ago 14, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Started 20h 9m ago
Updated
Updated 22h 13m ago
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