SC Villa vs NEC FC Bugolobi
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is SC Villa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: SC VillaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.027 | A: 0.024Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.75. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.89% based on n=604 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uganda Super 8 (ug). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
Market expectations and recent results both point toward SC Villa as the more reliable side. Historical model data adds support here, as similar HIGH selections have produced encouraging results. SC Villa is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
SC Villa – NEC FC Bugolobi Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | KV Mechelen II - RFC Wetteren | 1.80 | 6.89% |
| LOSS | Ready U19 - KFUM U19 | 1.67 | 6.49% |
| WIN | Paro FC - Abu Muslim FC | 1.95 | 7.35% |
| WIN | Leiston - Bishop's Stortford | 1.90 | 6.89% |
| WIN | Beroe - Ludogorets Razgrad II | 1.91 | 6.89% |
| LOSS | Hammarby TFF - FBK Karlstad | 1.53 | 6.49% |
| WIN | Blooming U19 - Oriente Petrolero U19 | 1.80 | 6.89% |
| WIN | EC Sao Bernardo - Sao Caetano | 1.75 | 7.35% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Paso Locomotive FC - Oakland Roots | 1 | 1.95 | 6.89% | 09 Aug 03:00 |
| Brisbane Olympic FC (W) - Capalaba (W) | 1 | 1.50 | 6.49% | 15 Aug 10:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.95 | 6.89% | 16 Aug 17:00 |