SC Villa – NEC FC Bugolobi

Model: TipTromba2H

SC Villa vs NEC FC Bugolobi

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.75
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 14, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 11h 55m
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.89% · n=604
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SC Villa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SC VillaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.027 | A: 0.024

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

45/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.82First seen
Current1.76Now
Max odds1.82Highest point
Min odds1.76Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SC VillaHOME
VS
NEC FC BugolobiAWAY
WDLWW
Recent form
WDLLW
Avg goals scored
2.20
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.60
Shots on target for
6.20
2.60
SoT conceded pressure
2.40
5.40
Home splitD-W-W-D-W1.60 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-W-D0.80 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.75. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.89% based on n=604 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uganda Super 8 (ug). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.75
V2 BandHIGHROI 6.89% · n=604
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward SC Villa as the more reliable side. Historical model data adds support here, as similar HIGH selections have produced encouraging results. SC Villa is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -15.5% 7D: -0.6% 15D: 14.6% 30D: 9.5%
Model insight

SC Villa – NEC FC Bugolobi Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.89% across 604 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample282
Win Rate59.9%
Profit+21.06u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINKV Mechelen II - RFC Wetteren1.806.89%
LOSSReady U19 - KFUM U191.676.49%
WINParo FC - Abu Muslim FC1.957.35%
WINLeiston - Bishop's Stortford1.906.89%
WINBeroe - Ludogorets Razgrad II1.916.89%
LOSSHammarby TFF - FBK Karlstad1.536.49%
WINBlooming U19 - Oriente Petrolero U191.806.89%
WINEC Sao Bernardo - Sao Caetano1.757.35%
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Pick
1 @ 1.75
Kickoff
Ago 14, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.89% • n=604
Start
Starts in 11h 55m
Updated
Updated 8m ago
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