Valur Reykjavik – Breidablik

Model: TIPPSA

Valur Reykjavik – Breidablik

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.37
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 10:15 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 2
StartStarted 9d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9d 5h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Valur Reykjavik Breidablik
Last 5 form W-L-L-W-W L-W-D-W-W
Avg goals scored 2.60 2.60
Avg goals conceded 2.20 1.60
Home/Away form W-L-W-W-L (home) L-W-W-D-D (away)
Home/Away avg goals 2.00 scored / 1.80 conceded 1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded
Shots on target 4.60 for / 8.20 against 4.80 for / 4.20 against
Home/Away shots on target 3.50 for / 4.75 against (home) 3.25 for / 4.50 against (away)

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.08First seen
Current2.37Now
Max odds2.38Highest point
Min odds2.06Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Valur Reykjavik – Breidablik Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.37. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.44% and 4.44%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample148
Win Rate39.2%
Profit-10.32u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva2.253.43%
LOSSLobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves2.182.63%
LOSSNK Radomlje - NS Mura2.554.13%
LOSSRadnik Bijeljina - Borac Banja Luka2.182.63%
LOSSADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W)2.254.13%
WINGuayaquil City - Orense2.483.59%
LOSSAFC Hermannstadt - FCSB2.263.31%
LOSSKasimpasa - Galatasaray2.273.31%
Pick
2 @ 2.37
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 10:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.44% • n=196
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.44% • n=196
Start
Started 9d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 9d 5h ago
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