Valur Reykjavik – Breidablik

Model: TIPPSA

Valur Reykjavik vs Breidablik

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.37
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 10:15 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 2
StartStarted 56d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 56d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Breidablik. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Breidablik

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

44/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.08First seen
Current2.37Now
Max odds2.38Highest point
Min odds2.06Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Valur ReykjavikHOME
VS
BreidablikAWAY
WLLWW
Recent form
LWDWW
Avg goals scored
2.60
2.60
Defensive weakness
2.20
1.60
Shots on target for
4.60
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
8.20
4.20
Home splitW-L-W-W-L2.00 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-D-D1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.37. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.44% based on n=196 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland Premier League (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.37
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.44% · n=196
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.44% · n=196
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 5.3% 7D: 15.6% 15D: 4.7% 30D: -0.2%
Model insight

Valur Reykjavik – Breidablik Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.37. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.44% and 4.44%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample155
Win Rate38.7%
Profit-12.46u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCraigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)2.343.43%
LOSSUnion La Calera - Universidad de Chile2.293.59%
WINChongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan2.523.43%
LOSSDeportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota2.563.43%
LOSSIF Gnistan - SJK2.514.13%
LOSSLech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)2.253.59%
LOSSChrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz2.192.63%
LOSSSC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva2.253.43%
Pick
2 @ 2.37
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 10:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.44% • n=196
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.44% • n=196
Start
Started 56d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 56d 13h ago
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