Model: TIPPSH

Viettel FC vs Ninh Binh

PREDICTION

@ 2.19

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 03, 2026 4:15 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 70d 11h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 70d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Viettel FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Viettel FC

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

44/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.90First seen

Current2.19Now

Max odds2.19Highest point

Min odds1.90Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Viettel FCHOME

Ninh BinhAWAY

DDWWD

Recent form

DLWWW

Avg goals scored

1.40

2.00

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.20

Shots on target for

4.60

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

2.60

2.80

Home splitD-W-W1.00 scored / 0.33 conceded

Away splitD-W-W1.67 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.19. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=299 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Vietnam V-League (vn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.19

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -13.5% 7D: -13.1% 15D: -2.7% 30D: 12.3%

Model insight

Viettel FC – Ninh Binh Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.19. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample230

Win Rate44.8%

Profit-14.08u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	BFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas	2.25	3.15%
LOSS	Nautico - EC Juventude	2.27	3.15%
WIN	Club Atletico Temperley - Tristan Suarez	2.41	2.49%
WIN	FK Jelgava - SC Grobinas	2.05	3.37%
WIN	Cuiaba - America MG	2.13	3.37%
LOSS	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	2.38	3.15%
LOSS	Jacuipense U20 - Fluminense De Feira U20	2.30	2.49%
WIN	Internacional U20 - Gremio U20	1.99	3.37%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz	1	1.98	4.86%	09 May 13:00

Pick

1 @ 2.19

Kickoff

Mag 03, 2026 4:15 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.86% • n=299

Start

Started 70d 11h ago

Updated

Updated 70d 13h ago