Model: TipTromba4H
Virginia United – Moreton City Excelsior B
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 03, 2026 12:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 23d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.06% · n=273
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.06% · n=273
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 24d 4h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Virginia United | Moreton City Excelsior B |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-W-W-L-W | D-D-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 2.25 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 1.75 |
| Home/Away form | D (home) | D-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded | 2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 8.67 for / 7.00 against | 9.75 for / 9.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 14.00 for / 14.00 against (home) | 10.00 for / 9.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Virginia United. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.50First seen
Current3.93Now
Max odds3.94Highest point
Min odds3.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Virginia United – Moreton City Excelsior B Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.06% and 5.06%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample32
Win Rate31.3%
Profit+3.95u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | CA Metropolitano - Blumenau EC | 3.75 | 5.43% |
| LOSS | Mineros - Deportivo Miranda FC | 3.50 | 5.06% |
| LOSS | Cockburn City Reserves - Joondalup City Reserves | 3.60 | 5.06% |
| WIN | University NSW - Rockdale Ilinden FC | 3.60 | 5.06% |
| WIN | CA Ituzaingo Reserves - Deportivo Laferrere Reserves | 3.50 | 5.06% |
| LOSS | Perolas Negras - America RJ | 3.50 | 5.06% |
| LOSS | Malmo FF (W) - IFK Goteborg (W) | 3.50 | 5.06% |
| WIN | Padova U19 - Udinese U19 | 3.60 | 5.06% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kolding IF (W) - Fortuna Hjørring (W) | 1 | 3.75 | 5.43% | 28 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 3.50
Kickoff
Mag 03, 2026 12:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.06% • n=273
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.06% • n=273
Start
Started 23d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 24d 4h ago