Wigan – AFC Wimbledon

Model: TIPPSH

Wigan vs AFC Wimbledon

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.28
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 25, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 99d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 99d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Wigan. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: WiganGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

52/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.09First seen
Current2.28Now
Max odds2.36Highest point
Min odds2.04Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

WiganHOME
VS
AFC WimbledonAWAY
LDWWW
Recent form
WLLLL
Avg goals scored
1.60
0.40
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.80
Shots on target for
3.20
2.40
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
6.20
Home splitL-W-W-D1.25 scored / 0.50 conceded
Away splitW-L-L0.33 scored / 0.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.28. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.90% based on n=238 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England League 1 (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.28
V2 BandHIGHROI 6.90% · n=238
V4 BandHIGHROI 6.90% · n=238
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Wigan. Historical model data adds support here, as similar HIGH selections have produced encouraging results.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -27.4% 7D: -6.1% 15D: 22.4% 30D: 17.1%
Model insight

Wigan – AFC Wimbledon Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.28. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.90% and 6.90%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample21
Win Rate42.9%
Profit-1.12u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINSporting - Nottm Forest2.056.72%
LOSSBay FC (W) - Reign FC (W)2.186.72%
WINPortland Timbers - Seattle Sounders2.146.72%
WINBelgium - Senegal2.126.72%
LOSSCRB - Fortaleza2.176.72%
LOSSKTP - FC Haka2.126.72%
WINHenan U20 - Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U202.046.72%
LOSSKA Akureyri - Valur Reykjavik2.306.90%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
LKS Lodz II - OKS Swit Skolwin12.356.90%08 May 17:00
Pick
1 @ 2.28
Kickoff
Apr 25, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.90% • n=238
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.90% • n=238
Start
Started 99d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 99d 16h ago
Torna in alto