Model: TIPPSA
Wrexham – Middlesbrough
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.47
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 02, 2026 3:30 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 24d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=63
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=63
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 24d 17h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Wrexham | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-W-W-L | D-W-W-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-L (home) | D-D-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.67 scored / 2.33 conceded | 2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.20 for / 4.40 against | 6.60 for / 3.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.67 for / 4.33 against (home) | 6.33 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Middlesbrough is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.45First seen
Current2.47Now
Max odds2.68Highest point
Min odds2.43Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Wrexham – Middlesbrough Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.47. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample150
Win Rate40.0%
Profit-2.78u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | ADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W) | 2.25 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | AFC Hermannstadt - FCSB | 2.26 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | Kasimpasa - Galatasaray | 2.27 | 3.31% |
| WIN | Almagro - San Martin SJ | 2.62 | 4.44% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.47
Kickoff
Mag 02, 2026 3:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=63
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=63
Start
Started 24d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 24d 17h ago