Model: TIPPSH

Young Boys vs Basel

PREDICTION

@ 1.65

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 29, 2026 10:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4h 52m

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9h 27m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Young Boys. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Young BoysGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.096 | A: 0.012

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

4/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.63First seen

Current1.65Now

Max odds1.65Highest point

Min odds1.63Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Young BoysHOME

BaselAWAY

WWDWW

Recent form

WLWWL

Avg goals scored

4.00

2.80

Defensive weakness

1.20

2.00

Shots on target for

8.40

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

4.80

Home splitW-W-D-D-W3.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-W-L2.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.65. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.66% based on n=356 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Switzerland Super League (ch). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.65

V2 BandNONEROI -4.66% · n=356

V4 BandNONEROI -4.66% · n=356

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward Young Boys as the more reliable side. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Young Boys is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -6.1% 7D: 24.9% 15D: 14.2% 30D: 11.3%

Model insight

Young Boys – Basel Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.65. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -4.66% and -4.66%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample459

Win Rate61.4%

Profit+13.76u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Tauranga City AFC - Manukau United	1.63	-4.66%
LOSS	Comerciantes Unidos - FC Cajamarca	1.72	-6.04%
WIN	JBK - Narpes Kraft	1.62	-4.66%
WIN	Connah's Quay - Cambrian United	1.63	-9.21%
WIN	Beitar Haifa Yakov - Hapoel Bnei Arrara Ara	1.69	-7.35%
WIN	Mushuc Runa - Delfin SC	1.63	-7.35%
WIN	Southern District - Kowloon City	1.70	-7.35%
WIN	FC Helsingor - Ishoj	1.64	-9.21%

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Pick

1 @ 1.65

Kickoff

Ago 29, 2026 10:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -4.66% • n=356

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-4.66% • n=356

Start

Starts in 4h 52m

Updated

Updated 9h 27m ago