Yunnan Yukun – Shanghai Shenhua

Model: TIPPSA

Yunnan Yukun – Shanghai Shenhua

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.29
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 10d 9h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.94% · n=186
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10d 17h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Yunnan Yukun Shanghai Shenhua
Last 5 form W-W-L-D-W L-D-L-L-W
Avg goals scored 2.00 1.60
Avg goals conceded 1.40 2.00
Home/Away form W-L-D-L (home) L-L-W-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.25 scored / 2.00 conceded 1.75 scored / 1.75 conceded
Shots on target 5.40 for / 5.20 against 5.20 for / 4.60 against
Home/Away shots on target 3.50 for / 5.00 against (home) 3.75 for / 4.50 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.90First seen
Current3.30Now
Max odds3.40Highest point
Min odds2.90Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Yunnan Yukun – Shanghai Shenhua Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.29. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.94% across 186 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample26
Win Rate42.3%
Profit+10.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSRapid Vienna - SV Ried3.294.77%
WINAmerica MG - Vila Nova3.333.84%
LOSSSlavia Prague - Viktoria Plzen3.494.77%
LOSSWidzew Lodz - Piast Gliwice3.284.77%
WINSport Recife - CRB3.383.04%
LOSSIwaki FC - Matsumoto Y FC3.402.94%
WINMaritimo - Chaves3.302.94%
WINFK Austria Vienna II - SV Kapfenberg3.352.94%
Pick
2 @ 3.29
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.94% • n=186
Start
Started 10d 9h ago
Updated
Updated 10d 17h ago
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