Yunnan Yukun – Shanghai Shenhua

Model: TIPPSA

Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Shenhua

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.29
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 56d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.94% · n=186
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 56d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Shanghai Shenhua. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Shanghai Shenhua

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

47/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.90First seen
Current3.30Now
Max odds3.40Highest point
Min odds2.90Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Yunnan YukunHOME
VS
Shanghai ShenhuaAWAY
WWLDW
Recent form
LDLLW
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.40
2.00
Shots on target for
5.40
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
4.60
Home splitW-L-D-L1.25 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-W1.75 scored / 1.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.29. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.94% based on n=186 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China Super League (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.29
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.94% · n=186
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 24.1% 7D: 14.7% 15D: 5.3% 30D: 1.9%
Model insight

Yunnan Yukun – Shanghai Shenhua Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.29. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.94% across 186 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample31
Win Rate35.5%
Profit+5.62u
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WINAmerica MG - Vila Nova3.333.84%
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Pick
2 @ 3.29
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.94% • n=186
Start
Started 56d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 56d 16h ago
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