Model: TIPPSA

Sparta Katowice vs Skra Czestochowa

PREDICTION

@ 2.97

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 16, 2026 2:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 0

StartStarted 56d 9h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.70% · n=134

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 56d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Skra Czestochowa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Skra Czestochowa

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

54/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.10First seen

Current3.11Now

Max odds3.11Highest point

Min odds3.10Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sparta KatowiceHOME

Skra CzestochowaAWAY

WLWWD

Recent form

LWLWW

Avg goals scored

0.80

1.80

Defensive weakness

0.40

1.60

Shots on target for

2.00

6.60

SoT conceded pressure

2.00

4.00

Home splitW-W-W-L1.50 scored / 0.75 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-W2.25 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.97. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.70% based on n=134 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland III Liga (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.97

V2 BandHIGHROI 5.70% · n=134

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Skra Czestochowa's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 11.7% 7D: 9.2% 15D: -4.2% 30D: -2.8%

Model insight

Sparta Katowice – Skra Czestochowa Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.97. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.70% across 134 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample27

Win Rate44.4%

Profit+7.82u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	OLS - SalPa	2.84	7.70%
LOSS	FC Kitzbuhel - Hohenems	2.82	7.70%
WIN	Maccabi Panthers Ashdod (W) - FC Ramat Hasharon (W)	2.83	7.70%
LOSS	Deportivo Moquegua - AD Tarma	2.94	6.31%
LOSS	Madura United - Bali United	2.82	5.70%
LOSS	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	3.00	6.31%
WIN	Aubagne Air Bel - Stade Briochin	2.76	5.70%
LOSS	Nantes (W) - Lyon (W)	3.01	6.31%

Pick

2 @ 2.97

Kickoff

Mag 16, 2026 2:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 5.70% • n=134

Start

Started 56d 9h ago

Updated

Updated 56d 15h ago