Derry City – Shamrock Rovers

Model: TIPPSA

Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.51
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 24, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 77d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 78d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Shamrock Rovers. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Shamrock Rovers

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

42/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.36First seen
Current2.42Now
Max odds2.42Highest point
Min odds2.35Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Derry CityHOME
VS
Shamrock RoversAWAY
WWDDL
Recent form
LWWWD
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.00
Shots on target for
4.00
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
4.40
Home splitW1.00 scored / 0.00 conceded
Away splitL-W-D0.67 scored / 0.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.51. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.31% based on n=578 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland Premier Division (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.51
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Shamrock Rovers. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -11.8% 7D: -6.1% 15D: 8.3% 30D: 15.2%
Model insight

Derry City – Shamrock Rovers Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.51. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample150
Win Rate42.0%
Profit+7.12u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCraigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)2.343.43%
WINSantamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre2.654.13%
LOSSUnion La Calera - Universidad de Chile2.293.59%
WINMaldives - Afghanistan2.634.13%
WINChongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan2.523.43%
LOSSDeportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota2.563.43%
LOSSIF Gnistan - SJK2.514.13%
LOSSNK Radomlje - NS Mura2.554.13%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN22.703.31%30 Apr 02:30
Pick
2 @ 2.51
Kickoff
Apr 24, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Start
Started 77d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 78d 1h ago
Torna in alto