Model: TIPPSH
Coventry – Wrexham
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.26
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 1
StartStarted 44d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 3h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Coventry | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-D-D-D | L-W-W-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-D-W (home) | L-W-L-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.75 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.75 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.60 for / 2.40 against | 2.00 for / 5.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.50 for / 2.00 against (home) | 2.25 for / 5.75 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Coventry a useful statistical edge. The HIGH confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile. Coventry has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 20.7%
7D: 5.9%
15D: 26.4%
30D: 20.1%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.98First seen
Current2.26Now
Max odds2.26Highest point
Min odds1.98Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Coventry – Wrexham Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.26. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.90% and 6.90%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample17
Win Rate35.3%
Profit-3.43u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | KTP - FC Haka | 2.12 | 6.72% |
| WIN | Henan U20 - Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20 | 2.04 | 6.72% |
| LOSS | KA Akureyri - Valur Reykjavik | 2.30 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | FBK Karlstad - Umeå FC | 2.30 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | FC Copenhagen - Midtjylland | 2.51 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | FK Blansko - SK Unicov | 2.45 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | Operario PR - Chapecoense | 2.34 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | Falkirk - Hibernian | 2.31 | 6.90% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LKS Lodz II - OKS Swit Skolwin | 1 | 2.35 | 6.90% | 08 May 17:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.26
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.90% • n=238
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.90% • n=238
Start
Started 44d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 3h ago