Model: TIPPSA
Basel – FC Sion
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.45
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 2
StartStarted 31d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 31d 3h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Basel | FC Sion |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-D | W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.33 | 3.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.67 | 0.00 |
| Home/Away form | L-D (home) | W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.50 scored / 2.50 conceded | 3.00 scored / 0.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.67 for / 6.33 against | 7.00 for / 2.33 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.50 for / 5.00 against (home) | 7.50 for / 3.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, FC Sion has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. FC Sion has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.60First seen
Current2.50Now
Max odds2.69Highest point
Min odds2.50Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Basel – FC Sion Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.45. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample148
Win Rate39.9%
Profit-4.01u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | ADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W) | 2.25 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | AFC Hermannstadt - FCSB | 2.26 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | Kasimpasa - Galatasaray | 2.27 | 3.31% |
| WIN | Almagro - San Martin SJ | 2.62 | 4.44% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.45
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Start
Started 31d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 31d 3h ago