Derthona vs ASD Imperia
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is ASD Imperia. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: ASD ImperiaValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.50. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.31% based on n=578 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Serie D (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market prices ASD Imperia as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to ASD Imperia's attacking profile.
Derthona – ASD Imperia Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Craigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W) | 2.34 | 3.43% |
| WIN | Santamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre | 2.65 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Union La Calera - Universidad de Chile | 2.29 | 3.59% |
| WIN | Maldives - Afghanistan | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Chongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan | 2.52 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Deportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota | 2.56 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | IF Gnistan - SJK | 2.51 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Lech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 2.25 | 3.59% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |