Derthona – ASD Imperia

Model: TIPPSA

Derthona vs ASD Imperia

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 77d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 78d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is ASD Imperia. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: ASD Imperia

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

42/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.70First seen
Current2.70Now
Max odds2.70Highest point
Min odds2.70Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

DerthonaHOME
VS
ASD ImperiaAWAY
DLWL
Recent form
DDW
Avg goals scored
0.50
1.33
Defensive weakness
1.25
1.00
Shots on target for
4.00
7.50
SoT conceded pressure
7.00
2.00
Home splitD-L0.00 scored / 1.50 conceded
Away splitD-W1.00 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.50. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.31% based on n=578 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Serie D (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.50
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market prices ASD Imperia as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to ASD Imperia's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 17.0% 7D: 9.3% 15D: 9.7% 30D: 16.8%
Model insight

Derthona – ASD Imperia Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.50. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample156
Win Rate41.7%
Profit+5.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCraigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)2.343.43%
WINSantamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre2.654.13%
LOSSUnion La Calera - Universidad de Chile2.293.59%
WINMaldives - Afghanistan2.634.13%
WINChongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan2.523.43%
LOSSDeportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota2.563.43%
LOSSIF Gnistan - SJK2.514.13%
LOSSLech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)2.253.59%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN22.703.31%30 Apr 02:30
Pick
2 @ 2.50
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Start
Started 77d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 78d 4h ago
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