Model: TIPPSH
Sampdoria – Sudtirol
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.12
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 01, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 50d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 51d 17h ago
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.20First seen
Current2.12Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds2.10Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Sampdoria | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-L-W-W | L-L-L-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-W (home) | L-L-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.67 scored / 1.00 conceded | 0.67 scored / 2.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.40 for / 3.00 against | 2.00 for / 5.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.33 for / 2.67 against (home) | 1.67 for / 6.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Sampdoria is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 24.1%
7D: 11.6%
15D: 7.2%
30D: 15.9%
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.12. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.30% based on n=590 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Serie B (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.12
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium
Model insight
Sampdoria – Sudtirol Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.12. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample263
Win Rate47.5%
Profit-8.77u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Detroit City FC - Louisville City FC | 2.36 | 2.49% |
| WIN | The Gap NPL (W) - Mitchelton FC (W) | 2.31 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Harju JK Laagri - JK Nomme United | 2.25 | 2.49% |
| WIN | JK Nomme Kalju II - JK Nomme United II | 2.25 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Salvo SC (W) - Minnesota Thunder (W) | 2.30 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Nomads United - Nelson Suburbs | 2.30 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Londrina - Avai | 2.33 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Dnepr Mogilev - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 2.18 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| Provincial Ovalle - Real Juventud San Joaquin | 1 | 2.25 | 2.49% | 21 Jun 22:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.12
Kickoff
Mag 01, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 50d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 51d 17h ago