Model: TIPPSH
Harju JK Laagri vs JK Nomme United
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.18
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 20, 2026 3:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 3
StartStarted 45d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 22h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Harju JK Laagri. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Harju JK LaagriGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
31/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.33First seen
Current2.18Now
Max odds2.33Highest point
Min odds2.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Harju JK LaagriHOME
VS
JK Nomme UnitedAWAY
LLLWL
Recent form
WLWLL
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.60
2.00
Shots on target for
3.40
2.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
5.00
Home splitL-L-W-L-W1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-L-W2.00 scored / 1.80 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.18. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Estonia Meistriliiga (ee). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.18
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Harju JK Laagri is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 10.0%
7D: -6.9%
15D: -5.3%
30D: 9.4%
Model insight
Harju JK Laagri – JK Nomme United Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.18. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample393
Win Rate47.3%
Profit+3.02u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Nublense - Rangers de Talca | 2.09 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Academia de Balompie Boliviano - Real Oruro | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Persebaya Surabaya - Arema FC | 2.19 | 1.04% |
| WIN | FC Cincinnati - Pachuca | 2.07 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Torque Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Dynamo Makhachkala - Krylia Sovetov | 2.08 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Real Frontera - Atletico El Vigia | 2.04 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Racing Club (W) - Boca Juniors (W) | 2.16 | 1.31% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Keflavik - KA Akureyri | 1 | 1.98 | 1.04% | 05 Aug 20:00 |
| Quilmes - Gimnasia Jujuy | 1 | 1.94 | 1.04% | 06 Aug 01:00 |
| Fluminense - Vasco da Gama | 1 | 2.21 | 1.04% | 06 Aug 02:30 |
| Denver Summit FC (W) - North Carolina Courage (W) | 1 | 1.95 | 1.04% | 06 Aug 04:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.18
Kickoff
Giu 20, 2026 3:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 45d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 22h ago