Model: TIPPSA
Nantes (W) – Lyon (W)
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.26
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 29, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 27d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.04% · n=73
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.04% · n=73
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 28d 2h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Nantes (W) | Lyon (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-W | D-L-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.50 | 3.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| Home/Away form | D (home) | D-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded | 2.67 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.50 for / 2.50 against | 5.75 for / 4.50 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 8.00 for / 4.00 against (home) | 4.00 for / 5.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Lyon (W) shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.20First seen
Current3.26Now
Max odds3.26Highest point
Min odds2.15Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Nantes (W) – Lyon (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.26. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.04% and 3.04%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample26
Win Rate42.3%
Profit+10.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Rapid Vienna - SV Ried | 3.29 | 4.77% |
| WIN | America MG - Vila Nova | 3.33 | 3.84% |
| LOSS | Slavia Prague - Viktoria Plzen | 3.49 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Widzew Lodz - Piast Gliwice | 3.28 | 4.77% |
| WIN | Sport Recife - CRB | 3.38 | 3.04% |
| LOSS | Iwaki FC - Matsumoto Y FC | 3.40 | 2.94% |
| LOSS | Yunnan Yukun - Shanghai Shenhua | 3.31 | 2.94% |
| WIN | Maritimo - Chaves | 3.30 | 2.94% |
Pick
2 @ 3.26
Kickoff
Apr 29, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.04% • n=73
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.04% • n=73
Start
Started 27d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 28d 2h ago