Los Angeles FC vs Toluca
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Toluca. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: TolucaValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.15. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.70% based on n=134 historical similar picks. The match belongs to CONCACAF Champions Cup. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Toluca has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Los Angeles FC – Toluca Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Deportivo Moquegua - AD Tarma | 2.94 | 6.31% |
| LOSS | Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig | 3.00 | 6.31% |
| LOSS | Nantes (W) - Lyon (W) | 3.01 | 6.31% |
| WIN | Strasbourg (W) - Le Havre (W) | 3.02 | 5.70% |
| WIN | Girona - Real Betis | 3.05 | 6.31% |
| LOSS | Ipswich - Middlesbrough | 2.94 | 6.31% |
| WIN | NK Osijek - NK Varazdin | 3.19 | 6.31% |
| WIN | Ponte Preta - Vila Nova | 2.93 | 6.31% |