Jacuipense – Imperatriz

Model: TIPPSA

Jacuipense vs Imperatriz

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.01
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 30, 2026 4:30 AM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 72d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.07% · n=37
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 72d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Imperatriz. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Imperatriz

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

53/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.43First seen
Current4.02Now
Max odds4.03Highest point
Min odds3.28Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

JacuipenseHOME
VS
ImperatrizAWAY
LWLLL
Recent form
WDDLW
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.40
Defensive weakness
2.20
1.20
Shots on target for
2.00
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
5.00
4.40
Home splitL-W-L0.67 scored / 1.33 conceded
Away splitW-D-D0.67 scored / 0.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.01. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.07% based on n=37 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Copa Nordeste (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.01
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.07% · n=37
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Imperatriz. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Imperatriz is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -18.1% 7D: 6.6% 15D: 2.3% 30D: 13.7%
Model insight

Jacuipense – Imperatriz Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.01. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.07% across 37 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample12
Win Rate16.7%
Profit-4.20u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSItuano - Figueirense3.812.78%
LOSSSarpsborg 08 U19 - KFUM U193.893.99%
LOSSVaxjo (W) - IK Uppsala (W)4.173.92%
LOSSUSA - Paraguay3.973.92%
LOSSAskoe Oedt - Deutschlandsberger SC4.042.78%
LOSSJunior - Independiente Santa Fe4.103.92%
LOSSGremio Novorizontino - Ceara4.083.99%
LOSSCerezo Osaka - V-Varen Nagasaki4.103.07%
Pick
2 @ 4.01
Kickoff
Apr 30, 2026 4:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.07% • n=37
Start
Started 72d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 72d 9h ago
Torna in alto