Esperance de Tunis – CS Sfaxien

Model: TIPPSH

Esperance de Tunis vs CS Sfaxien

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.92
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 30, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 104d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 104d 19h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Esperance de Tunis. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Esperance de TunisGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

41/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.62First seen
Current1.92Now
Max odds1.93Highest point
Min odds1.62Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Esperance de TunisHOME
VS
CS SfaxienAWAY
DDDLL
Recent form
DWWDW
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.00
0.40
Shots on target for
5.60
2.00
SoT conceded pressure
2.00
1.00
Home splitD-D-L0.67 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-D0.50 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.92. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=299 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Tunisia League 1 (tn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.92
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Esperance de Tunis is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -15.1% 7D: 4.6% 15D: -0.6% 30D: 13.0%
Model insight

Esperance de Tunis – CS Sfaxien Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.92. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample336
Win Rate50.9%
Profit-5.65u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINCruzeiro - Mirassol1.763.37%
WINBFC Daugavpils - Tukums 20001.753.37%
LOSSRennes - Brentford2.063.37%
WINPorthmadog - Rhyl2.103.37%
WINBayern Munich - Aston Villa1.923.37%
LOSSFC Yaypan Fergana - Fardu Ferghana2.153.37%
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Pick
1 @ 1.92
Kickoff
Apr 30, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 104d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 104d 19h ago
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