Model: TIPPSA
Empoli – Avellino
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.93
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 01, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 25d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.07% · n=37
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 25d 18h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Empoli | Avellino |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-D-L-L | L-W-W-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-D (home) | L-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 0.50 conceded | 0.67 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.00 for / 4.00 against | 3.40 for / 3.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.50 for / 1.50 against (home) | 2.33 for / 4.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, Avellino has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.36First seen
Current3.93Now
Max odds3.93Highest point
Min odds3.34Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Empoli – Avellino Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.93. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.07% across 37 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample15
Win Rate13.3%
Profit-7.20u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Junior - Independiente Santa Fe | 4.10 | 3.92% |
| LOSS | Gremio Novorizontino - Ceara | 4.08 | 3.99% |
| LOSS | FC Inter II - KUPS Akatemia | 3.70 | 2.94% |
| LOSS | Cerezo Osaka - V-Varen Nagasaki | 4.10 | 3.07% |
| LOSS | NK Primorac Biograd - NK Junak | 3.73 | 2.94% |
| WIN | Jacuipense - Imperatriz | 3.97 | 3.07% |
| LOSS | Guayaquil City - Tecnico Universitario | 3.69 | 2.94% |
| WIN | Kiffen - PPJ | 3.83 | 3.07% |
Pick
2 @ 3.93
Kickoff
Mag 01, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.07% • n=37
Start
Started 25d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 25d 18h ago