Tombense MG – Rio Branco ES

Model: TIPPSA

Tombense MG – Rio Branco ES

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.24
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 04, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 23d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.51% · n=382
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 23d 16h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Tombense MG Rio Branco ES
Last 5 form D-D-L-D-L D-D-D-W-W
Avg goals scored 0.80 1.00
Avg goals conceded 1.20 0.00
Home/Away form D-D-W-D (home) D-D-D-W-D (away)
Home/Away avg goals 2.00 scored / 1.25 conceded 0.60 scored / 0.40 conceded
Shots on target 2.80 for / 5.20 against 2.60 for / 3.40 against
Home/Away shots on target 7.25 for / 4.25 against (home) 3.00 for / 4.80 against (away)

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Rio Branco ES has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.10First seen
Current3.30Now
Max odds3.30Highest point
Min odds3.10Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Tombense MG – Rio Branco ES Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.24. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.51% across 382 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample28
Win Rate35.7%
Profit+3.03u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSiroki Brijeg U19 - FK Zvijezda 09 U193.15-1.07%
WINHibernian - Motherwell3.17-0.51%
LOSSIF Gnistan - FF Jaro3.03-0.51%
WINRebordosa - SC Vianense3.14-0.51%
LOSSSpartak Varna - Slavia Sofia3.09-0.51%
LOSSLucerne - Servette3.07-0.51%
LOSSHerediano - Cartagines3.48-1.78%
LOSSPersis Solo - Persebaya Surabaya3.32-1.78%
Pick
2 @ 3.24
Kickoff
Mag 04, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.51% • n=382
Start
Started 23d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 23d 16h ago
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