Tombense MG vs Rio Branco ES
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Rio Branco ES. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Rio Branco ESGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.24. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.51% based on n=382 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie D (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Tombense MG – Rio Branco ES Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Huehuetecos FC - Deportivo Gomerano | 3.39 | -0.79% |
| LOSS | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng - Chongqing Tonglianglong | 3.14 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive FC | 3.00 | -1.07% |
| WIN | HNK Gorica - NK Osijek | 3.11 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Mold Alexandra - Caersws | 3.08 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Besiktas - Midtjylland | 3.31 | -0.79% |
| WIN | KuPS (W) - Aland United (W) | 3.00 | -1.07% |
| WIN | Anapolis FC - Botafogo PB | 3.10 | -1.07% |