Model: TipTromba35H
Strasbourg – Toulouse
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.08
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 03, 2026 7:15 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 42d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.58% · n=665
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 42d 17h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Strasbourg | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-W-L-L | W-D-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-L-W-W (home) | W-L-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded | 1.50 scored / 2.75 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.00 for / 6.40 against | 3.20 for / 8.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.80 for / 4.20 against (home) | 2.50 for / 8.25 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -14.7%
7D: -16.0%
15D: -5.2%
30D: 11.0%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.48First seen
Current3.13Now
Max odds3.19Highest point
Min odds2.47Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Strasbourg – Toulouse Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.08. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.58% across 665 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample111
Win Rate28.8%
Profit-10.35u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Shanghai Port U20 - Beijing Guoan U20 | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Minas Boca U20 - Sao Joao del Rei U20 | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| WIN | Huragan Pobiedziska - Wiara Lecha Poznan | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| WIN | Mogi Mirim U23 - Santacruzense U23 | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Bonsucesso FC - Resende RJ | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | RTC FC - Drukpa FC | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| WIN | Dianella White Eagles - Western Knights | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Dangjin Citizen FC - Changwon City | 3.25 | 4.14% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| America RJ U20 - Volta Redonda U20 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.85% | 15 Jun 19:45 |
Pick
1 @ 3.08
Kickoff
Mag 03, 2026 7:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.58% • n=665
Start
Started 42d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 42d 17h ago